Risk modeling for hazards and disasters /

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Bibliographic Details
Other Authors: Michel, Gero
Format: Electronic eBook
Language:English
Published: Amsterdam : Elsevier, 2017.
Subjects:
Online Access:CONNECT

MARC

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505 0 |6 880-01  |a Front Cover; RISK MODELING FOR HAZARDS AND DISASTERS; RISK MODELING FOR HAZARDS AND DISASTERS; Copyright; Contents; List of Contributors; INTRODUCTION; References; I -- CATASTROPHE MODELS, GENERAL CONCEPTS AND METHODS; 1 -- Quantifying Model Uncertainty and Risk; INTRODUCTION; BACKGROUND OF CATASTROPHE MODELING; DIFFERENT COMPONENTS OF CATASTROPHE MODELS; EARTHQUAKE HAZARD; Components of Earthquake Source Models; Fault Sources; Distributed Sources; Smoothing of Seismicity; Smoothing of Historical Seismicity; Maximum Magnitude; Earthquake Probability Model; Ground Motion. 
505 8 |a EPISTEMIC UNCERTAINTY IN SEISMIC HAZARD RESULTSBUILDING VULNERABILITY; Methodology; Loss Distribution; Analytical Approach of Development of Vulnerability Functions; BUILDING COMPONENTS; DAMAGE STATES; REPAIR COSTS; PEER-PBEE-Based Analytical Approach; Damage Measure and Repair Cost; SECONDARY HAZARD AND SUBPERILS; METHODOLOGY FOR LOSS CALCULATIONS; LOSS RESULTS AND THE UNCERTAINTY; OVERVIEW OF A TYPICAL HURRICANE CATASTROPHE MODEL; COMPONENT LEVEL UNCERTAINTIES; Sensitivity to Numbers of Years and Numbers of Samples; Sensitivity to Choices for LTR Models. 
505 8 |a Sensitivity to Choices for MTR ModelsSensitivity to Choices for Track, Intensity, Size, Transitioning, and Filling Rate Models; Sensitivities to Overland Wind-Field Models; Sensitivities to Vulnerabilities; Other Wind Uncertainties; Surge Uncertainties; Flood Uncertainties; SUMMARY; References; Further Reading; 2 -- What Makes a Catastrophe Model Robust; INTRODUCTION; PROMISE OF THE STOCHASTIC CATALOG; SIMULATION OF EVENT INTENSITIES AT LOCATION; MODELING DAMAGE; FINANCIAL MODEL AND VALIDATING LOSSES; CLOSING THOUGHTS; Acknowledgments; References; APPENDIX A; Stochastic Catalog. 
505 8 |a Conditional Exceedance ProbabilityCONCLUDING REMARKS; Acknowledgments; References; 4 -- Empirical Fragility and Vulnerability Assessment: Not Just a Regression; INTRODUCTION; CHALLENGES WITH POSTEVENT LOSS AND DAMAGE DATABASES; Postevent Loss and Damage Data Sources; Incomplete Data; Measurement and Classification Errors; Intensity; Asset Characteristics; Damage Scale; Loss; Multiple Successive Hazard Events; STATISTICAL MODELS -- WHICH MODEL FITS THE DATA BEST?; Introduction; Parametric Statistical Models; Nonlinear Models; Linear Models; Generalized Linear Models. 
650 0 |a Risk assessment  |x Mathematical models. 
650 0 |a Natural disasters  |x Risk assessment. 
650 0 |a Hazard mitigation. 
700 1 |a Michel, Gero. 
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880 8 |6 505-01/(S  |a Local IntensityDamage Functions; Financial Calculations; Overall Model; 3 -- Towards a More Dynamical Paradigm for Natural Catastrophe Risk Modeling; INTRODUCTION; LOSS SIMULATION; Event Loss Table Definition; Loss Distribution Functions: CEP, OEP, and AEP; CLUSTERING; Scientific Background; Overdispersion in Counts; Building Clustering into ELT Calculations; DYNAMICAL MIXTURE MODELS; Concept; Estimation of the Mixing Parameters: β0,i and β1,i; Choice of Row Overdispersion: Scaling Properties; Models and Simulations; Results; Clustering; Aggregate Exceedance Probability. 
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