Applied economic forecasting using time series methods /

Economic forecasting is a key ingredient of decision making both in the public and in the private sector. Because economic outcomes are the result of a vast, complex, dynamic and stochastic system, forecasting is very difficult and forecast errors are unavoidable. Because forecast precision and reli...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Ghysels, Eric, 1956- (Author), Marcellino, Massimiliano (Author)
Format: Book
Language:English
Published: New York, NY : Oxford University Press, [2018]
Subjects:
Table of Contents:
  • PART I: Forecasting with the Linear Regression Model. Chapter 1 -The Baseline Linear Regression Model. Chapter 2
  • Model Mis-Specification. Chapter 3
  • The Dynamic Linear Regression Model. Chapter 4
  • Forecast Evaluation and Combination. PART II: Forecasting with Time Series Models. Chapter 5
  • Univariate Time Series Models. Chapter 6
  • VAR Models. Chapter 7
  • Error Correction Models. Chapter 8
  • Bayesian VAR Models. PART III: TAR, Markov Switching and State Space Models. Chapter 9
  • TAR and STAR Models. Chapter 10
  • Markov Switching Models. Chapter 11
  • State Space Models and the Kalman Filter. PART IV: Mixed Frequency, Large Datasets and Volatility. Chapter 12
  • Models for Mixed Frequency Data. Chapter 13
  • Models for Large Datasets. Chapter 14
  • Forecasting Volatility.