The signal and the noise : why so many predictions--fail but some don't /
Silver built an innovative system for predicting baseball performance, predicted the 2008 election within a hair's breadth, and became a national sensation as a blogger. Drawing on his own groundbreaking work, Silver examines the world of prediction.
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Main Author: | |
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Format: | Book |
Language: | English |
Published: |
New York :
Penguin Press,
2012.
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Subjects: |
MARC
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001 | mig00004711898 | ||
003 | OCoLC | ||
005 | 20121031023759.0 | ||
008 | 120703s2012 nyua b 001 0 eng | ||
010 | |a 2012027308 | ||
019 | |a 812978742 | ||
020 | |a 9781594204111 | ||
020 | |a 159420411X | ||
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035 | 0 | 0 | |a ocn780480483 |
040 | |a DLC |b eng |c DLC |d IG# |d BTCTA |d BDX |d WIM |d OCLCO |d UPZ |d RNC |d IK2 |d YDXCP |d JQM |d VP@ |d ORX |d CDX |d AZZPT |d TXM | ||
042 | |a pcc | ||
049 | |a TXMM | ||
050 | 0 | 0 | |a CB158 |b .S54 2012 |
082 | 0 | 0 | |a 519.5/42 |2 23 |
092 | |a 519.542 |b Si39s | ||
100 | 1 | |a Silver, Nate, |d 1978- | |
245 | 1 | 4 | |a The signal and the noise : |b why so many predictions--fail but some don't / |c Nate Silver. |
260 | |a New York : |b Penguin Press, |c 2012. | ||
300 | |a 534 p. : |b ill. ; |c 25 cm. | ||
504 | |a Includes bibliographical references (p. 459-514) and index. | ||
505 | 0 | |a A Catastrophic failure of prediction -- Are you smarter than a television pundit -- All I care about is W's and L's -- For years you've been telling us that rain is green -- Desperately seeking signal -- How to drown in three feet of water -- Role models -- Less and less and less wrong -- Rage against the machines -- The poker bubble -- If you can't beat 'em -- A climate of healthy skepticism -- What you don't know can hurt you. | |
520 | |a Silver built an innovative system for predicting baseball performance, predicted the 2008 election within a hair's breadth, and became a national sensation as a blogger. Drawing on his own groundbreaking work, Silver examines the world of prediction. | ||
650 | 0 | |a Forecasting. | |
650 | 0 | |a Forecasting |x Methodology. | |
650 | 0 | |a Forecasting |x History. | |
650 | 0 | |a Bayesian statistical decision theory. | |
650 | 0 | |a Knowledge, Theory of. | |
907 | |a 2136198 |b 11-12-20 |c 10-26-12 | ||
998 | |a w |b 10-31-12 |c m |d a |e - |f eng |g nyu |h 4 |i 1 | ||
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952 | f | f | |p Circulating |a Middle Tennessee State University |b Main |c James E. Walker Library |d Main Collection - Walker Library - 2nd Floor |t 0 |e CB158 .S54 2012 |h Library of Congress classification |i Book |m 33082017810895 |n 1 |